Attention-driven reaction to extreme earnings surprises
School authors:
author photo
Tomás Hernán Reyes
author photo
Julián Alberto Batista
External authors:
  • Alvaro Chacon ( Universidad Tecnica Federico Santa Maria )
  • Diego Martinez ( Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile )
  • Edgar E. Kausel ( Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile )
Abstract:

We investigate the relationship between investor attention and stock returns in the context of extreme earnings surprises. We propose a novel mechanism that describes this interaction: high attention to very positive and very negative earnings news results in faster incorporation of information into stock prices, an overreaction effect, and a subsequent partial reversal. We test this mechanism using post-announcement abnormal returns and measure investor attention using internet search volume. We confirm that abnormal attention to earnings announcements is positively related to post-announcement abnormal returns when earnings surprises are very positive and negatively related when earnings surprises are very negative. More importantly, we argue that investors exhibit attention-driven overreactions to these extreme earnings surprises since the initial effects of abnormal attention on abnormal returns are subsequently partially reversed.

UT WOS:001103720600001
Number of Citations 0
Type
Pages 230-248
ISSUE
Volume 92
Month of Publication DEC
Year of Publication 2023
DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2023.10.003
ISSN
ISBN