Juan De Dios Ortúzar
email jos@uc.cl
Research Lines:
Transportation Demand Models Discrete Choice Models Assessment of Externalities Educational Simulation GamesKeywords from publications:
Social Evaluation Discrete Choice Models Willingness -to -pay Delta Method Sem Noise-sensitivity Ver más...Profile
Académico a jornada completa desde 1972. Pionero en el desarrollo de modelos de elección discreta y su aplicación en determinar la disposición al pago por reducir externalidades (accidentes, ruido y contaminación). Con su equipo de investigadores ha desarrollado metodologías aplicadas en Alemania, Australia, España y Noruega. Miembro fundador del Instituto Sistemas Complejos de Ingeniería, del equipo PUC que lidera el Centro de Excelencia BRT+-Across Latitudes and Cultures, con MIT, Sydney University y World Resources Institute, y del Centro de Desarrollo Urbano Sustentable (CEDEUS).
Ha publicado diez libros y más de 200 artículos en revistas internacionales y capítulos de libros. Destaca Modelling Transport (Wiley) con más de 18.000 copias vendidas, que refleja el estado de la práctica y es texto base en la mayoría de los programas de postgrado en transporte. También es co-autor de juego de simulación Micro-GUTS, utilizado en más de 50 universidades. Fue Co-editor in Chief de Transportation Research, part A (2012-2020), y es miembro del comité editorial de las revistas Transport Policy, International Planning Studies, Transportation Letters, Research in Transport Economics, Travel Behaviour and Society y Multimodal Transportation.
Ha dirigido importantes estudios de transporte en América Latina y Europa, involucrando la aplicación de técnicas avanzadas de modelación de demanda. En particular, lideró el análisis de la demanda por concesiones viales interurbanas utilizando encuestas de preferencias y modelos flexibles de elección discreta. También ha dirigido los trabajos de diseño e implementación de las encuestas origen-destino (EOD) más avanzadas de la región, como la EOD de 1991 (33.000 hogares) y la EOD continua que comenzó con 15.000 hogares el 2001-2002 y entrevistó otros 5.000 por año entre 2004 y 2007 en Santiago, y la EOD del 2011 en Bogotá, a más de 15.000 hogares.
Research Lines
Network
Keywords from publications
| Title | Year | Doi |
|---|---|---|
| Using hybrid choice models to capture the impact of attitudes on residential greywater reuse preferences | 2021 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2020.105171 |
| How to categorize individuals on the basis of underlying attitudes? A discussion on latent variables, latent classes and hybrid choice models | 2021 | https://doi.org/10.1080/23249935.2020.1817171 |
| Is there room for a room-tax in the Canary Islands? | 2021 | https://doi.org/10.1002/jtr.2438 |
| From mathematical models to policy design: Predicting greywater reuse scheme effectiveness and water reclamation benefits based on individuals' preferences | 2021 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2021.103132 |
| Traffic accident risk perception among drivers: a latent variable approach | 2020 | https://doi.org/10.1080/03081060.2020.1735763 |
| Addressing endogeneity in strategic urban mode choice models | 2021 | https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-020-10122-y |
| Forecasting with a joint mode/time-of-day choice model based on combined RP and SC data | 2021 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2021.06.006 |
| Understanding the preferences for different types of urban greywater uses and the impact of qualitative attributes | 2020 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2020.116007 |
| Forecasting with strategic transport models corrected for endogeneity | 2021 | https://doi.org/10.1080/23249935.2021.1891154 |
| Assessing the potential acceptability of road pricing in Santiago | 2021 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2020.12.007 |
| Capturing and analysing heterogeneity in residential greywater reuse preferences using a latent class model | 2021 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.111673 |
| Estimating bicycle demand in an aggressive environment | 2021 | https://doi.org/10.1080/15568318.2020.1734886 |
| Pedestrian safety perception and urban street settings: a comment | 2020 | https://doi.org/10.1080/15568318.2019.1668514 |
| Subjective valuation of tangible and intangible heritage neighbourhood attributes | 2020 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.habitatint.2020.102249 |
| On the effect of operational service attributes on transit satisfaction | 2020 | https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-019-10016-8 |
| The role of habit and the built environment in the willingness to commute by bicycle | 2020 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tbs.2020.02.007 |
| Heterogeneity and college choice: Latent class modelling for improved policy making | 2019 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2019.100185 |
| On evasion behaviour in public transport: Dissatisfaction or contagion? | 2019 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2019.10.005 |
| Effect of critical incidents on public transport satisfaction and loyalty: an Ordinal Probit SEM-MIMIC approach | 2020 | https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-018-9921-4 |
| Forecasting the Quality of Service of Bogota's Sidewalks from Pedestrian Perceptions: An Ordered Probit MIMIC Approach | 2020 | https://doi.org/10.1177/0361198119896782 |
| Shared taxis: modelling the choice of a paratransit mode in Santiago de Chile | 2019 | https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-018-9926-z |
| Demand for environmentally friendly vehicles: A review and new evidence | 2019 | https://doi.org/10.1080/15568318.2018.1459969 |
| Understanding public transport satisfaction: Using Maslow's hierarchy of (transit) needs | 2019 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2019.06.005 |
| On de-bunking 'Fake News' in a post truth era: Special editorial | 2019 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2019.06.012 |
| Preferences for sustainable mobility in natural areas: The case of Teide National Park | 2019 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2019.03.002 |
| Extended Methodology for the Estimation of a Zonal Origin-Destination Matrix: A Planning Software Application Based on Smartcard Trip Data | 2018 | https://doi.org/10.1177/0361198118796356 |
| The role of critical incidents and involvement in transit satisfaction and loyalty | 2019 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2019.01.005 |
| A comparison of bus passengers' and car drivers' valuation of casualty risk reductions in their routes | 2019 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2018.09.028 |
| Fifty years of Transportation Research journals: A bibliometric overview | 2019 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2018.11.015 |
| The Stochastic Satisficing model: A bounded rationality discrete choice model | 2018 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2017.11.002 |
| Modelling service-specific and global transit satisfaction under travel and user heterogeneity | 2018 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2018.05.009 |
| Modelling consumers' heterogeneous preferences: a case study with Chilean wine consumers | 2018 | https://doi.org/10.1111/ajgw.12297 |
| Analyzing the continuity of attitudinal and perceptual indicators in hybrid choice models | 2017 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2017.01.003 |
| Estimating the value of risk reductions for car drivers when pedestrians are involved: a case study in Spain | 2018 | https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-016-9736-0 |
| Towards a sustainable city: Applying urban renewal incentives according to the social and urban characteristics of the area | 2017 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.habitatint.2017.03.004 |
| If you choose not to decide, you still have made a choice | 2017 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2016.11.002 |
| Predicting the Potential Market for Electric Vehicles | 2017 | https://doi.org/10.1287/trsc.2015.0659 |
| Modelling correlation patterns in mode choice models estimated on multiday travel data | 2017 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2016.11.021 |
| About attitudes and perceptions: finding the proper way to consider latent variables in discrete choice models | 2017 | https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-015-9663-5 |
| Quantifying behavioural difference in latent class models to assess empirical identifiability: Analytical development and application to multiple heuristics | 2022 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100356 |
| Revisiting the Benefits of Combining Data of a Different Nature: Strategic Forecasting of New Mode Alternatives | 2021 | https://doi.org/10.1155/2021/6672961 |
| Characterising public transport shifting to active and private modes in South American capitals during the COVID-19 pandemic | 2022 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2022.08.010 |
| Estimating willingness-to-pay from discrete choice models: Setting the record straight | 2023 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2023.103828 |
| On the relationships between auditory and visual factors in a residential environment context: A SEM approach | 2023 | https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2023.1080149 |
| Influence of survey engagement and multiple-choice heuristics in the estimation of the value of a statistical life | 2023 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2023.107171 |
| Assessing the impact of cycling infrastructure: A non-linear hedonic model for Santiago de Chile | 2024 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tbs.2023.100674 |
| Influence of perceived risk on travel mode choice during Covid-19 | 2024 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.01.009 |
| Characterizing the impact of discrete indicators to correct for endogeneity in discrete choice models | 2022 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2021.100342 |
| The path towards herd immunity: Predicting COVID-19 vaccination uptake through results from a stated choice study across six continents | 2022 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2022.114800 |
| Activity-travel pattern inference based on multi-source big data | 2024 | https://doi.org/10.1080/01441647.2024.2400341 |
| Understanding the differences between car and motorcycle ownership. The case of Bogota, Colombia | 2024 | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2023.103773 |
School Co-Authors
* Authors who are no longer vigent are not clickable.
External Co-Authors
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Guonian Lu1 publication
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Margarita Greene1 publication
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Stephane Hess1 publication
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Yacan Wang1 publication
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Julian Arellana1 publication
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Alvaro Rodriguez-Valencia1 publication
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Yu Wang1 publication
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Andrew Daly1 publication
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Xiao Fu1 publication
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Jose J. Soto1 publication
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Santiago Mesa-Garcia1 publication
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Charisma Choudhury1 publication
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Luis Garzon1 publication
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Yi Zhang1 publication
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Rodrigo Vega1 publication
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Andrew Daly1 publication
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Thomas O. Hancock1 publication
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Luis Bravo-Moncayo1 publication